HomeMy WebLinkAboutPopulation: Extimated 07-31-99 and 07-01-00 ESTIMATED POPULATION, and HOUSEHOLDS
CITY OF CARMEL & CLAY TOWNSHIP 31 July 1999
Estimated current population Carmel/Clay Township 62,118
Estimated number of households Carmel/Clay Township: 22,851
Approximate area, Clay Township: 31,322 acres
Approximate area unplatted residential: 5667 acres (18%)
Background:
ClayTownship population 1990 census =43,007
Number of Units existing = 15,693
Persons per Household =2.67
New Residential Units(1/91 - 12/31/99) =7953
Assume 90%occupancy =7158 x 2.67= 19,111 +43,007=62,118
Population Estimate
Total Units platted,Carmel/Clay Township,through 31 December 1999. 25,039
Total Units constructed, Carmel/Clay Township,through 31 December 1999' 19,466
Total platted lots remaining through 1 July 2000 5573
potential future lots(@ average 1 unit/acre) 5667
5573+5667= 11,240 lots remaining
Ave. single family permits per year(since 1995) 996.2
11,240/996 2= 11.25 year inventory
Ave. single family permits per year(since 1990) 800.5
11,240/800 5= 14 year inventory
Ave. single family permits per year(since 1985) 693 9
10,783 /693 8= 16 year inventory
Assumptions:
- Beginning population,62,118(12/31/00)
- 1 0 unit/acre average density throughout Clay Township
- Historic building trends continue(800 5 single family units/year)
- 150 new rental units annually
- Average township household size remains 2.67(1990 census)
- 90%of new households will be occupied annually
Carmel/Clay will continue to grow by 855 households annually((800.5+ 150)x 0 90)
855.25 x 2.67=2284 new persons annually
2284 x 5 years= 11,414 increase in population by 2005 [est. pop. 73,538]
2284x 10 yrs. =22,820 increase by 2010 [est. pop. 84,958]
2284 x 15 yrs. = 34,260 by 2015,approximate build-out [est.pop 96,378]
ESTIMATED POPULATION, CITY OF CARMEL & CLAY TOWNSHIP
1 July 2000
I. OVERVIEW:
City of Carmel estimated population =37,124 (as of July 1, 2000)
Area of Cannel 17 77 sq miles(11,372 acres)
Clay Township, estimated population =62,714 (as of July 1, 2000)
Area of Clay Township 51 sq miles(31,332 acres)
H. DATA/ESTIMATE CALCULATIONS:
MONTH
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
JANUARY 30 38 19 24 (24+7)(2)
FEBRUARY 32 40 38 68 (28)
MARCH 57 49 56 66 (44+2)(1)
APRIL 74 48 50 40 (25)
MAY 68 73 60 61(20+88)(7)
JUNE 52 50 49 52 (23)
JULY 59 42 45 40+89(4) (19)
AUGUST 47 48 45
SEPTEMBER 48 42 52
OCTOBER 1190 50 41
NOVEMBER 10 0 48 590 52
DECEMBER 38 34 41 42
Totals-City 48 668 580 549 374
Clay Township 479 559 664 781 833 92 398 425 5640
(140)
Total permits@ 479 559 664 781 833 1105 1066 1005 974 5960
Total units 539 590 752 855 844 1120 1125 1011 1117 718
7953 total units thru 12/31/99
Carmel population,as of November 19, 1996 = 31,8080
Area of Carmel = 17 77 sq miles(11,372 acres)
Number of Householdsexisting = 11,413
Persons per Household(PPH) =2.740
New Residential Units(11/96 -7/00) =2156
Assume 90%occupancy = 1940 x 2.74= 5316+31,808=37,124
ClayTownship population 1990 census =43,0070
Area of Township = 51 sq. miles(32,640 acres)
Number of Units existing = 15;693
Persons per Household =2.670
New Residential Units(1/91 - 12/31/99) = 7953
Assume 90%occupancy = 7158 x 2.67= 19,111 +43,007=62,118
O November 20, 1996 thru November 30, 1996
O number includes 47 single family units plus 72 condominium units of Carmel Pointe
O total includes164 units within 25 multi-family buildings.
O total includes 95 units within 15 multi-family buildings.
O totals include single family,two-family, and multi-family units
O Source 1990 US Census
O Source, Cannel GIS